Safleoedd

Ratings compare finishing times with everyone else in each race, so beating a strong field counts for more, and recent races count most. A rating of 110 is about 10% faster than a typical runner. Members who have run at least 3 senior races, the latest in the past 12 months.

How are rankings calculated?

Every senior race with results on this site is replayed in date order. Each runner has a rating, which is how fast they are, and an uncertainty, which is how sure we are of it.

Each race

  • How hard was it? The times of runners who already have ratings show how fast the course ran on the day, so the length, climb, terrain and weather all cancel out.
  • How did you do? Your time is compared with that. Finishing ahead of a strong field earns more than finishing ahead of a weak one, and by how much you finished ahead counts too, not just your place.
  • Your rating moves towards that run. It moves further when we're less sure of you, such as in your first few races, and less once you've raced a lot.
  • One race can only move a rating so far, so a navigation error, fall or bad day won't wreck it. Races you didn't finish aren't counted.

Recent form counts most

The longer you go without racing, the less sure we are of your rating, so your next races move it further. Old results fade rather than counting forever.

The ranking

Runners are ranked by a cautious figure: a rating we're confident you're at least as good as. A runner with only a few races, or who hasn't raced for a while, sits a little lower until they race again. A rating of 100 is a typical runner, and 110 is about 10% faster, around 5 to 6 minutes quicker over an hour.

Who is included

WFRA members who have run at least 3 senior races, with at least one in the past 12 months. Class and category places come from the overall ranking, with categories based on age today.

Junior races aren't included: each age group runs its own course and only races itself, so those times can't be compared with anyone else's. Juniors who run senior races are rated from those.

Tested against past results, these ratings call who finishes ahead in about 92% of head-to-heads, compared with 90% for the average of best scores used before. Rankings update within 15 minutes of new results.

Position Runner Club Class Category Races Rating
80 Rhian Probert Mynydd Du F 6 FV50 1 56 99.5
104 Nicola Richards Mercia Fell Runners F 8 FV50 2 19 96.9
120 Jackie Lee Rhedwyr Eryri Harriers F 12 FV50 3 27 95.0
133 Mel Price Mercia Fell Runners F 15 FV50 4 26 94.2
152 Andrea Rowlands Rhedwyr Eryri Harriers F 19 FV50 5 34 91.7
234 Naomi Law Brecon AC F 35 FV50 6 12 85.1
247 Debbie Stenner Mynydd Du F 38 FV50 7 35 83.8
265 Cherry Fowler Chepstow Harriers F 45 FV50 8 21 82.8
285 Mandy Peffers Unaffiliated F 49 FV50 9 16 81.8
286 Laura Baynham-Hughes Helsby RC F 50 FV50 10 4 81.8
298 Megan Hughes Rhedwyr Eryri Harriers F 56 FV50 11 19 80.4
308 Louise Barker Aberystwyth AC F 60 FV50 12 5 79.4
310 Melina Morris Denbigh Harriers F 61 FV50 13 34 79.3
325 Sarah Jeremiah Parc Bryn Bach Running Club F 63 FV50 14 5 78.4
381 Alison Wainwright Dark Peak Fell Runners F 74 FV50 15 4 73.2
386 Vanessa Lawson Unaffiliated F 75 FV50 16 11 73.0
406 Emma Palmer Unaffiliated F 86 FV50 17 11 71.2
408 Ruth Metcalfe Rhedwyr Eryri Harriers F 87 FV50 18 5 71.2
431 Louise Emery Unaffiliated F 93 FV50 19 4 69.0
438 Caroline O'Brien Buckley Runners F 96 FV50 20 3 68.1
451 Emma Bagley Mynydd Du F 98 FV50 21 27 67.1
452 Emily Wood Rhedwyr Eryri Harriers F 99 FV50 22 25 67.0
469 Sasha Habgood Unaffiliated F 103 FV50 23 8 65.6
472 Helen Jones Meirionnydd Running Club F 105 FV50 24 5 65.3
477 Ellen Sugden Pegasus RC F 109 FV50 25 3 64.3
481 Bryony Dean Hereford Couriers F 111 FV50 26 11 63.8
488 Shari Finch Chepstow Harriers F 115 FV50 27 10 62.7
499 Brigitte Allen Chepstow Harriers F 119 FV50 28 11 61.0
500 Beverley Tucker Mynydd Du F 120 FV50 29 29 61.0
503 Fenella Higgins Buckley Runners F 123 FV50 30 3 60.6
510 Karen Elvers Mynyddwyr de Cymru F 127 FV50 31 11 56.9
520 Debbie Parry Unaffiliated F 134 FV50 32 3 51.6
522 Ann Claire Jones PRC F 135 FV50 33 22 49.9
529 Sonia Unsted Chepstow Harriers F 138 FV50 34 7 40.2